Sunday, 14 December 2014

GOVIND RUBBER LTD.- BUY


  • Friends today I am taking you through a very interesting stock that is surprisingly missed by many so called Research Analysts. The company is Govind Rubber Ltd. (GRL)
  • GRL is part of Siyaram Poddar business group which is into a range of industry segments like Textiles, Agri and Tyre & Tube manufacture.
  • GRL manufactures a range of Bi-cycle & Tri-cycle Tyres and Tubes. Interestingly, it is the only listed company in India which manufactures tyres & tubes for Bicycles.
  • In fact it is a Global name in `this industry segment.
  • Bicycle industry is at nascent stage in India and has a huge potential particularly in view of increasing health & environment consciousness.
  • Company management is lead by the Poddar family, also Balkrishna Tyres (BKT) is an associate of GRL.
Financials:
  • Market capitalisation of Rs.68 Cr and annual sale of Rs. 410 Cr.
  • Promotor stake is more than 50%
  • The company has a debt of @ Rs.90 Cr. and the management has resolved to cut the debts in its recent AGM, which needs to be monitored in subsequent quarters.
  • The drop in Rubber & Carbon black prices will certainly improve the company's margin & net profit in FY15.
With its unique leadership position in this segment, rising demand for bicycle tyres globally complimented by the company's presence in Europe is going to boost the sales in coming years.
Investors with a little high patience can buy this stock.
The stock is currently trading at Rs.30 and only listed on the BSE.

Discl. - I am holding this stock

  


Friday, 5 December 2014

Dear Investors

In view of SEBI's Research Analyst regulation, couldn't post any new recos on this Blog.
There are restrictions on publication of Stock recomendations.

Kindly bear with me till the registration process is through.

In the meantime, you may pls. mail me on goldenshares.gs@gmail.com for any update & clarification.

Thanks.

Saturday, 22 November 2014

SPEL Semiconductor Ltd. - the rising Sun !!

 


  • SPEL Semiconductor Limited is India’s first & only Semiconductor IC Assembly & Test facility.
  • SPEL pioneered the Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly & Test Services (OSAT) market in India.
  • It's Parent company is Natronix Semiconductor Technology, a Singapore Headquartered Co.
  • Natronix holds over 55% stake in SPEL.
  • In simple terms, OSAT means a contract manufacturing partner which manufactures integrated circuits (ICs), tests and delivers to varied customers from different fields like Communication, Consumer Electronics and Computing.
  • The 'Make in India' campaign of Govt. calls for indigenous manufacture of Mobiles and other Consumer Electronics items, there by reducing overdependance on Chinesen products.
  • SPEL being the only OSAT fascility in India, stands poised to get the first mover advantage.
  • Company's Operating Profit Margin has grown over 20% in last quarter and the company is slowly gaining momentum and turning around.
  • DIGITAL INDIA strategy also complements the company growth.
  • SPEL management is quite decent, stable and experienced. The track record of the management is Clean.
  • The ultra advanced assy. line is at Maraimalai Nagar near Chennai.
  • The customers of the company are some of the very Big names of Silicon valley.
  • The company is listed on BSE and is trading at Rs.16 per share.
With these positives, one can certainly look for SPEL a multibagger in near terms.

Kindly refer link for more info. http://www.natronix.net/spel.htm
 

  

Saturday, 15 November 2014

PHILLIPS CARBON BLACK LTD - There's a bit of black in everything you see


  • PHILLIPS CARBON BLACK LTD. (PCBL), is part of the business conglomerate RP-Sanjiv Goenka Group, which is @ Rs.140 billion revenue.
  • Carbon Black business contributes 19% of its annual sales revenue.
  • PCBL is the largest producer of Carbon Black in India and 7th largest in the World.
  • PCBL is the largest supplier to almost all the TYRE manufacturers in India & World.
  • Carbon Black is exported to 20 countries across globe and the revenue from export of Carbon Black is @35% of the total sales of PCBL. 
  • Carbon Black is mainly used for reinforcing strength to the rubber and used in the manufacture of TYRES and Other Rubber products that are used in the industry. It is available in different grades depending on the type of Application.
  • Apart from the Tyre application, it is also required for the manufacture of INK, Printer Cartridges, Fabrics and many more applications that are used in daily life.
  • With the economic revival & Auto industry gaining momentum, PCBL is projected to give very good results in the coming 2-3 years. The same is visible now from Q2 FY 15 results.
  • The company has considerably high Debt on account of its investment towards Forward & Backward integration and also, the the company has clocked loss before last 3 Quarters. But, since the last 3 quarters, turn around has started.

 List of the customers is shown at the end of this Blog.
  • PCBL integrates high value creating business model that encompases Co-generation Power Plants that run on the tail gas formed during production of Carbon Black. The plant capacities along with the Power output is as below.
  • Revenue from the power generation from Captive power plants is 6% of the total annual income of PCBL.
  •  To enhance the efficiency & profitability of the business, company is now going for backward integration & extension to Carbo Chenical business that produces the raw material required for production of Carbon Black.
  • The company is trading of BSE & NSE with CMP - @ Rs.116 per share. Investors with a bit high patience will get very good returns from this stock in coming 2-3 Quarters.
 

for further details pls. refer - http://www.pcblltd.com/home/home.php?container=1

Monday, 3 November 2014

SKM EGG PRODUCTS LTD. - UPDATE







SKM EGG PRODUCTS - recommended on Muhurat Trading Day @ Rs.60 and the same is currently trading around Rs.85. I know,  many of my readers were eagerly waiting for company's September quarter results and the company keeps our faith by reporting good set of numbers. For the six months ended September , SKM reported the following figures :



I strongly believe that the  company is one step closer to achieving  its targets.  Japanese central bank's surprise decision to continue aggressive stimulus program is expected to help for an early recovery of Japanese economy. Any improvement of Japanese economy will augur well for SKM which is the most important market for the company. The main points to note in this result is the growth in top-line  even during this not so good situation in  its export markets and sharp reduction in  finance cost. Reduction in interest charges clearly indicating company's ongoing efforts to become a debt free company in next few years.Company already surpassed its last full year profit figures in this six months itself. Under the  trusted and hardworking promoters and  management , I hope company will achieve greater heights in the years to come.

In my opinion , for a disciplined investor with enough patience ,  still there is chance  for decent gain from this stock in long term.

KAMADGIRI FASHION LTD. - UPDATE

KAMADGIRI FASHION LTD. suggested on 26 Jun 2014 at Rs.26 is now trading at @ Rs.55.
Refer the link of past recommendation - http://goldenshares-gs.blogspot.in/2014/06/kamadgiri-fashion-ltd-buy.html

Also see the last line mentioned in my blog... what a coincidence. !!

Investors with High risk apetite can still hold the stock, while others can book profit now. 

FRESHTROP FRUITS LTD. - UPDATE

Freshtrop Fruits Ltd, recommended on 17th Oct-2014 at Rs.59 is now trading at Rs.91.
Still lot of steam remains in this stock.
Suggesting to HOLD further.
Refer link of past recommendation http://goldenshares-gs.blogspot.in/2014/10/freshtrop-fruits-ltd-buy-for-healthy.html

Friday, 31 October 2014

CUPID LTD. - BUY and be 'SAFE'



Today I am going to suggest you a stock which is from a very niche segment of Personal products industry.
The company name is CUPID LTD. and listed only on BSE at CMP of Rs.58.

Brief introduction of company-
CUPID LTD. manufactures Male & Female condoms of different varieties, flavours and colours and are sold under different brand names.

CUPID is the only company from India which manufactures FEMALE CONDOMS and also among very few companies in the world to have certifications to sell this product.
CUPID Ltd. has a well equipped R&D center located alongside to its main production facility and is actively involved in research related to HIV/AIDS prevention technology like female condoms

The company was founded in 1993 in collaboration with GREEN MATE BIOTECH CORP. and HERO CORP., both from South Korea. The company has its registered office at Mumbai and State of the art manufacturing facility at MIDC Sinnar, Nashik (@ 200 km from Mumbai).



This modern facility has a current capacity of 400 million pieces of Male condoms and 15 million pieces of recently developed Female condoms per annum.

Unique selling proposition-

1) For selling these kind of products, any company has to comply highly stringent international quality standards and obtain certifications meeting those standards across different countries. Thus there are reasonably high entry barriers in this industry. Rather, this is the first step for start of sales.
CUPID has obtained all those credentials and is a market leader. Recently the company is pre-qualified by WHO/UNFPA for supply of Male / Female condoms.

2) Female condom is a new invention and is gaining wide acceptability across world specifically the African & European countries. Govt. of India and CSIR have also given their nod for use of Female condoms. CUPID has captured the international markets with over 70% of its revenues coming from exports. While, it is all set to gain an early mover advantage in India.

3) Developing countries like China, India, Brazil and S.A. are drastically increasing their spends on Healthcare and Family planning. This gives a policy boost to this sector.



Financials-
The oreder pipeline of this company for the year 2015-16 is quite impressive. It has received order for supply of WHO/UNFPA pre-qualified Male condoms from UN population fund, Denmark. The total value of the order is USD 0.97 Million equivalent to Indial Rs. 5.87 Cr approx. This order is expected to complete by Feb 2015.

The company, also has orders on hand of over Rs. 7 Cr. for supply of Female condoms to its customers in South Africa. This is in addition to the existing orders.

With a robust order pipeline, the sales figures for the current year are expected to achieve decent double digit figures. 
On the back of this, sharp fall in the rubber (raw material) prices will certainly boost company margines.
Company has significantly reduced its debt over the last 4 years from Rs.7 Cr to 2 Cr. 
Quarterly Results

Q2 FY15
(Jul-Sep 2014)
Q2 FY14
(Jul-Sep 2013)
Sales10.113.92
OPM2.93-0.16
NP1.72-0.65
Annual ResultsRs. Cr
Mar-14Mar-13Mar-12Mar-11
Sales31.8428.425.9819.11
OPM8.32.892.642.59
NP5.280.860.590.39


Future growth plans-
Anticipating demand for Female condoms, the company is undergoing expansion. It has infrastructure in place to expand production capacity to 700 million condoms per year.

Management & Promotor shareholding:
CUPID's chairman Mr. Om Garg is a US based NRI having over 30 years of professional experience in this industry. He is also a member of an ISO Technical committee which deals with the Standardisation of non-systemic contraceptives and sexually transmitted infections (STI) barrier prophilatics.

The Promotors have increased their share since last 4-5 years and the current holding stands at 48%.

Conclusion-

- Very high growth potential of this industry and this niche segment in particular, will surely propel CUPID's long term growth prospects.
Having reasonably high entry barrier will help CUPID
- Strong order pipeline from International agencies & Governments will further improve the performance of the company
- Company management's focus on reducing debt
- Drop in raw material prices are helping improve upon margins.

With all these factors, the company is surely going to be a multibagger in medium to long term.

 Please refer company website for further details - http://www.cupidltd.com/index.php




Wednesday, 22 October 2014

GTS -7 ANSWER ----- SKM EGG PRODUCTS EXPORT (INDIA) LTD

GTS -7 ANSWER ----- SKM EGG PRODUCTS EXPORT (INDIA) LTD
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Dear Friends 

My Sincere thanks for your overwhelming response to this learning experience.I strongly believe , those who failed to find out the answer even after spending many hours learned more lessons than  those find out the answer through short cuts like social media sharing...etc.Such experience will be an added advantage in your wealth creation journey going forward.Once again urging my readers to avoid taking investment decisions based only on the name tag of companies I am posting here but only after detailed study and homework 

Wishing a Happy Diwali to all my readers and your families ...........

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If we strictly track the history of any stock which turned as a multi-bagger, there will be at least one niche element in it. Sometimes it may be the product/service itself, and in some other cases it may be its brand ,technology , market or something like that  .If the number of listed stocks from a particular industry is very limited and there is a boom period for that  business , normally the listed market leader  will turn as a multi-bagger, if it is backed by a management which is able to utilise the emerging business opportunities.One very good example for this fact is the recent appreciation in Avanti Feeds Ltd. ,the stock  I  recommended  about three years back @ just Rs.68 and  currently trading above Rs.1525 ( Recommendation Link HERE , Just pointed as an example and not a guarantee for similar performance in all other cases). This week let us look into another really interesting unknown niche stock – SKM Egg Products Exports Ltd.

SKM EGG PRODUCTS EXPORTS  - A CLOSE LOOK

This company is jointly promoted by well known SKM group and Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation Limited(TIDCO) .Out of the Rs.26 Crore equity , TIDCO holding about 7.58 % and Individuals from promoter group holding another  46 % stake.( This data is based on June quarter share holding and promoters made lot of market purchases in June-September period) .Belgium based Belovo Engineering holding another  5 % stake in SKM .Belovo Engineering is part of BNLfood Group which supplying  Egg Science & Technology ,producing and marketing eggs, egg derived nutraceutical ingredients and food ingredients. Plant of SKM itself established with the technical support and collaboration of BOLOVO.Company’s manufacturing facility is located at Cholangapalayam  , about 20 Km from Erode in Tamilnadu .This is one of the largest Egg processing facility in Asia and this state-of the art facility is located in a 35 Acre plot. Under stringent quality conditions , company processing around 18 lakhs eggs per day and manufacturing Whole egg powder, Albumen powder ( Powder form of Egg White), Yolk Powder(Yellow) and recently introduced liquid Eggs.These products are supplied mainly to Japanese and European companies for manufacturing products like cakes, biscuits , cookies, Confectionery products, Health foods, Soup mixes, Ice creams , dairy products ..etc. SKM established direct Subsidiary/marketing points in its major markets viz- Netherlands,Japan and Russia.Selling to other markets channelized through  third party distributors.Since the number of producers are less and India’s cost effective and competitive advantages ,company is getting repeat orders from its customers. SKM’s  products are ultimately used by large food product manufacturing MNC’s  like Kraft foods .Heinz..etc. for manufacturing bakery , health care and food items.

                                                                           SKM  is the only listed producer of Egg Powder and other value added products from Eggs .Even from the unlisted space , only very few companies are manufacturing similar products in India which includes an unlisted private company named Venkateswara Food Products Pvt Ltd owned by the same promoters of Venky’s India and another Bangalore based  company which listed in BSE but suspended from trading for more than 13 years.Among these few players ,SKM is the market leader in Egg powder exports and contributing more than 50% of India’s total egg powder export.As of now, company processing about 18 lakhs eggs per day and utilising close to  90 % capacity to manufacture its major products Viz- Egg Powder ,Bakery Mix and Liquid Egg.These products are exporting to overseas markets mainly  Japan and EU countries.Out of 18 lakhs eggs , about 5 lakhs produced from  company owned farms and the remaining is sourcing through contract farming model( Mainly through an associate company  named SKM Universal Marketing Ltd) . In order to ensure the quality of Eggs , company itself supplying feeds manufactured by company controlled (leased)  feed mill  to the farmers and company appointed veterinary doctors and supervisors periodically visiting farms running under contract farming agreements.Earlier, during its tough times company's share holders approved the sale of feed mill and farm , but only the selling of feed mill executed ( now working on lease)  .This business model ensuring sourcing of quality eggs without interruption which is otherwise a herculean task to source close to 20 lakhs quality eggs per day.Promoter’s experience in poultry field is one important point to note. This company was originally promoted by Mr. SKM Maeilanandhan who is the doyen of poultry industry in India who also  honoured with the Padma Shri award for his outstanding contribution in the field of social work in 2013.

Having said , being a food product , export of these type products  to developed countries is not an easy task.Stringent quality standards and periodic quality  checking are usual in an industry like this before getting final approval for exports and usually these formalities take many years to complete.In the beginning, company faced many challenges in this front and it affected SKM’s past performance. From past troubled times company emerged as a winner under the able leadership of Mr. SKM Shree Shivkumar who is the MD of the company and son of Mr. SKM Maeilanandhan. 

FINANCIALS 

During the peak of recessionary period , it reported losses in FY 2011 and 2012 due to various reasons like lower demand, poor realization and most importantly some quality related issues due to its dependency on  outside quality testing laboratories. But with early signs of revival , company’s new products introduction and tapping new markets  ,SKM made a remarkable turnaround in FY 2013 and further improvement in latest FY 2014.(See the below table for details) . 

To avoid any quality related  issues in future , company  established own quality testing lab  and R&D facilities.
   

As per the thoughts shared during recent AGM , company is now paying top priority to become a debt free company ( excluding working capital debt) in near future. As part of this effort , company already reduced its debt from Rs.51 Cr to Rs.34 Cr in last FY  and further reduced it in  first six months of ongoing FY .( Half of the loans are taken from promoters itself which they pumped into the company to keep it afloat at the time of extremely difficult periods few years back.) It is targeting a debt free status in next two years . After achieving this target ,SKM is planning to hike its capacity to reach a Rs.500 Cr company by 2017-18.

Major Negatives

Company is an export oriented unit and any  recession severe than the previous one  may negatively impact the demand scenario of its products.

Company’s earnings is in Dollar and Euro and its movements against Indian Rupee may impact its margins.

Though company sourcing part of its Egg requirements from own farms , any adverse change in the price of feed ingredients may affect its raw material cost.

Un-expected diseases affecting birds may create problems.

Major Positives.

As I mentioned in many of my previous  postings ,while investing in small cap stocks , promoter quality is the first point to note.The most important positive point about this company is its promoters and management , not only because of their experience in this field but due to their highly ethical business practices and ‘Nothing to Hide’ mentality even towards its minority retail share holders.I believe ,In these matters , it is difficult to find many companies with this standard from the small caps space .

Potential of company's product is very high and, there is only very few companies in this field. SKM is the market leader handling more than 50% of India’s total egg powder exports.

India is one of the low cost producer of Eggs and this giving added  competitive advantages to the company . SKM captured Japanese market by competing even with American companies which indicating its high quality standards.

Entry barrier - As mentioned earlier , procuring 18 lakhs Eggs per day is not easy to replicate by any new entrant in this field. Company established own farms to source part of this requirement and planning to expand the capacity of farm when it add more production capacity in its factory.Contact farming is also designed in a systematic way where company ensuring the quality of feed and arranging periodic visit of veterinary  doctors to ensure the health of birds and provide awareness to farmers in order to ensure the quality of Eggs to be processed.Since the end consumers are large MNC food companies they ,always need large quantity at stringent quality standards . To ensure this quality standards ,it should be careful right from the beginning.Any available  egg can’t be processed but it can use only the eggs laid by birds fed with specially prepared diets , so special arrangements should be there to ensure this quality and any available eggs in the market or at the gate can’t be accepted.Sourcing close to 20 lakhs such eggs per day continuously is an extremely  difficult task.Situation is more tough in the selling side . By competing with foreign firms ,company took years to established the label of a reliable and quality supplier in overseas markets. Being a food ingredient ,import permission to developed countries is not easy and even in the case of Russian market ,SKM succeeded only recently after four years continuous efforts.Because of these reasons , still there is hardly four or five successful egg product processors existing in India. Full traceability of end product is an important factor in export oriented food stuff business. To ensure this ,SKM introduced a system named “TRACKKER” which helping the company  to trace from feed ingredients level to final product level.



   

Scope of company’s products is very vast and so far it not touched the biggest market –USA. This may happen once the production capacity hiked to double in next few years and company’s financial health improve further .

Using its own R&D , company introducing new products and its recently introduced liquid Eggs receiving  overwhelming response from customers. Considering the increasing cholesterol related health issues , liquid white egg may turned as a money spinner for SKM in the years to come. Company also succeeded in increasing the shelf life of products and this will help to penetrate more overseas markets.

During the time of  last recession its business badly affected mainly because of its higher concentration in few markets .To avoid such a situation in future SKM is now expanding its geographical presence .Company’s years long efforts to get an entry in Russian market succeeded recently and they got approval from Russia now. Company started trial shipment  and it is expected to become a priority market for SKM in future. Company also  entered in Nigeria and South African Markets recently.

Promoters efforts to become a debt free company is not a gimmick and they are working sincerely for that ,which is evident from the reduction in debt levels in recent times. Targeted debt free status by next few years will give direct positive impact in its bottom line and make this already attractive company as a compelling buy 

Another most important factor is the multi angle benefit to the company due to global recovery. From  last few year’s financial performance , it is evident that even a small  positive change in global economy augers well for SKM .It is helping the company in three different ways

·         * Increased Demand from foreign markets

·         * Being an Export Oriented Unit , appreciation of Dollar and Euro against Indian Rupee is positive for the company 

·         * Strengthening  of Dollar will reduce the competitiveness of US manufactures in foreign markets especially in Japan  where SKM’s major competitors are US manufactures.

There is no big local market for processed egg as of now. But history says , In case of India ,  imitating the trends of food habits from developed markets is an eventuality . This will happen in future for sure. In such a situation , the peer company with years experience will benefit a lot and it will help the company  to de-risk  its business model by reducing over dependence on export – if necessary – in future.

Cost control efforts taken by management and their attention even in minute factors is another important point if we look through the eyes of  a minority share holder. Usage of recycled waste water to irrigate the garden and lawn in front of the factory is an example for this zero wastage strategy. They are even selling egg shells and earning few thousands in each year.

Conclusion  

I believe SKM Egg Products Export is a company operating in an Industry with huge potential in future and at the same time with high entry barrier.Most important point is the management’s  high ethical standards they exhibited even during their tough times. I strongly believe , god will always with such people and lead them into more success . This is one rare company from the micro cap space I can assure one thing – if there is any  failure for this company in future ,it will be only because of a reason beyond the control of promoters and its management.That much is the efforts they are taking to bring back the company into the right direction and further growth.For FY 2013-14 , on a consolidated basis company reported a Sales of Rs.264 Cr , a net profit of 7.20 Cr and an EPS of Rs.2.76. Stock of SKM appreciated post declaration of full year result and currently trading around Rs.60 .Prima-facie on a P/E based valuation method , this is neither cheap nor expensive.But to get a fair picture about last year profit ,we should dig deep. This 7 .20 Crore profit arrived after providing an Exchange fluctuation loss  of Rs.7.36 Crore and another one time expense of Rs.4.15 Cr. Considering the chance for stability in Rupee value ( compared with last year)  less forex loss is a possibility in current year .In the case of the mentioned one time expense incurred in last year , there is no chance to repeat it again. If we consider these two important hidden factors,valuation picture will change positively. In addition to this , company’s debt reduction will directly impact its bottom line and EPS figures going forward.Along with this quantitative figures, SKM’s market leading position, robust business plans with introduction of new products and penetrating new markets supported by a highly ethical management which is taking every effort to reach a debt free   Rs.500 Cr company in next few years  makes its an attractive pick for long term investors even at current level.

 Listing

During its worse time in 2011-12 ,company sought share holders approval to de-list its stock from BSE and remain listed only in one exchange. In the 17th AGM of the company, share holders approved a special resolution for this purpose and hence at present SKM Egg Product Exports is trading only in NSE( De-listing procedures from BSE yet to completed and theoretically still it is listed in BSE but suspended from trading )  and currently trading around Rs.60

Link to Company Website HERE

Disc: It is safe to assume that, I have vested interest in it as a share holder.

 
 

Friday, 17 October 2014

FRESHTROP FRUITS LTD. - BUY FOR A HEALTHY TOMORROW !!!

 



Happy & Prosperous Diwali to all the investors....

In the pursuit of safe investment & creation of wealth, I am taking you through an interesting stock today.
FRESHTROP FRUITS LTD. This is a new recommendation and not the answer to Quiz-1

This Ahmedabad based company is into business of selling 
1) Packaged fresh fruits and 
2) Processed fruit products such as Pulp & Extracts.

The company has ultra modern cold storages, processing and packing facilities in Nashik, Sangli & Satara regions of Maharashtra in the vicinity of fruit producers.

Fresh fruit segment involves mostly exporting of Grapes, Pomegranates & Mangoes. This segment contributes around 80% of the top line and more than 100% of profit. The season of these fruits start from January and ends in June every year. That is why around 85% of their sales is in Q1 and Q4 of every year.
Processed fruit product segment involves processing of fruit pulps primarily mango pulp, pomegranate pulp, tomato puree, guava pulp etc. Most of the sales in Q2 and Q3 is through this segment. This segment contributes the rest of the revenues for the company thereby making up the shortfall of fresh fruits sale in Q2 & Q3.
Now, one of the major reasons of slow growth of their business is not branding their products. 
Although, On the fresh fruit side, 70% of sales is directly to the European super stores like ASDA, Tesco, Marks & Spencer, Albert Hynes, DelHaize, Carrefour, Migros and several others. and 30% is through some agents. The fruits are sourced from Maharashtra, Karnataka and Telangana regions.
On the fruit processing side, the company is trying to expand this business by adding second line of fruit processing and modifying the plant for processing more fruits. As per recent AGM communication,this line is now ready and can now process 2 fruits together. The processed fruit products are supplied to companies like ITC, Pepsi, Coca Cola etc and are not marketed directly.
As per Q1FY15 results, the company recorded its highest ever revenue and profit in a quarter from this segment. It will be important to monitor the situation during Q2 and Q3 and see whether the food processing segment has really turned around with the addition of capacity. On account of this, the management gave estimates of 140-150 cr revenues for this year and about 190-200 cr for next year which is 30% growth. 
Seems like, this is a bit aggressive target but if the following factors turn out in favour of the company, it can surely hit the target and be a 'Multibagger stock'.
  • Addition of capacity in fruit processing segment. 
  • Recent removal of fruits n vegetable from APMC by Modi govt.
  • Fast growth of Agro-Retail concept in India
  • Renewed policy for promotion of exports of Fruits & Vegetables.
  • Branding of products by the company
  • Any decision on adding of fruit juices in carbonated cold drinks like Coca Cola, Pepsi, etc..
Financials:
  • Current market price @ Rs.59. Trading only on BSE.
  • Substantial reduction of Debts since last two years (from FY13)
  • Over 70% revenue from exports.
  • Compounded sales growth of over 25% since last 3yrs.
  • Company has consistent profit growth of 22% over 5 yrs.
  • Promoter stake has increased to over 50%.
Company Management:
Company has experienced management. Chairman & MD Mr. Ashok Motiani is an IITB grad having good understanding of the business. 
 
Company has all the Quality Standard Certifications required for exporting & selling products in various countries & continents.
FRESHTROP FRUITS LTD. is the only company listed on BSE/NSE that manufactures processed fruit products.
The company is operating in the sector with a huge un-tapped potential.

Investors with a little higher risk appetite can invest in this stock for healthy returns.

For further details pls. refer company website: http://www.freshtrop.in/




Saturday, 11 October 2014

QUIZ - 1

TRY TO IDENTIFY ONE STOCK WITH FOLLOWING CHARACTERISTICS

1) NO OTHER COMPANY TRADING IN BSE OR NSE  MANUFACTURING THE SAME PRODUCT MANUFACTURED BY THIS COMPANY .

2) OPERATING IN AN INDUSTRY WITH HUGE UN TAPPED POTENTIAL (THE ENTIRE INDIAN MARKET ITSELF IS ALMOST UNTOUCHED)

3) MARKET LEADER IN THIS INDUSTRY ( LARGEST PRODUCER FROM INDIA)

4) REASONABLY HIGH ENTRY BARRIER

5) TRANSPARENT BOOKS

6) DECLINING DEBT LEVEL FFROM  MORE THAN TWO YEARS

7) CURRENT MARKET CAP( FULL)  IS  LESS THAN HALF OF ITS LAST YEAR  SALES

8) PROMOTER STAKE IS ABOVE 50 %

9) IT IS  NOT FROM SERVICE SECTOR .

10) IT IS NOT AN ALREADY RECOMMENDED STOCK

11) IT IS NOT A LOSS MAKING COMPANY

===============================================================
Friends ,

Try to find out the company from the above  clues and send the answer to my mail id (goldenshares.gs@gmail.com) with subject line ' QUIZ-1 ' ,till 15th of this month  .Correct answer with detailed report will be posted on Muhurat Trading  Day morning.

Plese send the answers only to my mail id and do not post in blog itself as messages.

Monday, 22 September 2014

Update on past recommendations

Kamadgiri Fashions- Recommended at Rs.26.38, now trading at Rs.39.10 within a period of 4 months. Recommended for HOLD

Pix transmissions- Stock recommended on 15th March at Rs.34, has already doubled. Current price @ Rs.67.30. Book partial profit.

Usher agro- Stock recommended at Rs.33, now trading at Rs.47.  Recommended for HOLD.

Monday, 15 September 2014

Datamatics Global Services - Entering into the big league..

Datamatics Global Services



Listed on BSE & NSE
CMP- 86.65 & 86.30

Company offers integrated solution for Data management & IT services.
These services are required for efficient functioning of businesses like Baking, Insurance, Manufacturing and E-commerce.

Datamatics started its operations 20 years back and has a major chunk of its revenue coming from US & European markets. Now their focus is clearly on the Indian market with the surge of E-commerce.

E-commerce has huge potential in India. Companies are rushing to start online shops. All these businesses require huge data content posted on the online web portals. Thus Datamatics comes into picture with its content management capability and technology.

In addition to the Banking & Insurance sector company is also eying a big chunk of 'Digital India' program. So, business is surely going to increase manyfolds.

Financials-
Revenue- consistently grown over 20%
OPM- consistent @ 15 to 20%

USP-
Strong management with focus on acquisitions & expansion in Tier 2 cities.
Potential of the business segment specifically e-commerce
Global experience of the company.

Stock can be a multi bagger with target of Rs.125 in 6 months.



Wednesday, 25 June 2014

KAMADGIRI FASHION LTD. - BUY



KAMADGIRI FASHION LTD.




Listed on BSE only
Sector: Textile
CMP: Rs.26.38

Company info: 
Kamadgiri Fashion Ltd is into business of Textile weaving and allied activities.
It has expanded vertically into:

  • Weaving
  • OTC brands (True value & True Linen)
  • Apparels (Private brands & Strategic tie up)
  • Uniform solutions
The weaving unit is located at MIDC Tarapur, just 100km from Mumbai, with easy access to the excellent logistic advantage. Also, there is very good connectivity between weaving unit and the warehouse.
The company has inhouse manufacturing capacity of 3000 units of casual shirts, 4000 units of trousers, 5000 units of formal shirts and 3200 units of DENIM per day. The company has stte of the art manufcturing fcility with advanced technology wrapping, sizing and weaving machines. The company also has a well equipped design studio.
Unique selling proposition:
  1. Company has strategic tie up with Future Group for supply of 2 million garments p.a.. These garments are sold under various renowened brands like; John Miller, Lombard, Bare, Lee Cooper, Knighthood, etc.
  2. The company sells OTC brnds such as 'True value' & 'True line'.






3. The company spelisises in "Uniform and dress code requirement of corporates and industry across sectors such as  Retail, Hotel, Aviation, Healthcare, Education, Software, Manufacturing and many more.
Key clients include: Mexus education, Pantaloon, IPL, BCCI, Carving dreams, Lilavati Hospital, etc.

4. The company has very strong Domestic & International customer base like; 

Domestic Buyers:
Raymonds, Park Avenue, Arrow, Blackberrys, Spykar, Parx, Monte Carlo, Killer, Cotton By Century, Wills, John Players, Lombard, Lee cooper, John Miller, Bare, Annabelle, Indigo Nation, UMM, Rig, Globus, Max & many more.
International Buyers:Next, Debenhams, Burton, River Island, JEFF Banks, Jesper Conran, Top Man etc.

5. Good corporate governance and Strong Management.

The key driving factors for the fast growth of this industry are: 
  • Increase in demand of clothes due to increased economic/corporate activity in coming years such as Retail, Hospitals etc. In fact, growth of this sector is directly proportional to the growth of economy.
  • Governments proposal to come up with refreshed concept of Textile Clusters across India.
Financials:
  • Book value- Rs. 51
  • EPS- 5.78
  • P/E- 4.35
  • Latest dividend %- 15
  • Zero debt company.
  • Promotor shareholding is just 35% --> Potential takeover company.
Target: Expect the stock to reach Rs.55 in 6-8 months time.



Stock market boom coming up...Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

Stock market boom coming up; extremely bullish on economy: Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/stock-market-boom-coming-up-extremely-bullish-on-economy-rakesh-jhunjhunwala/articleshow/37114289.cms

Friday, 20 June 2014

Kernex Microsystems - BUY


Sector : Computers-Software Medium & Small
BSE/NSE: KERNEX
CMP (Rs): 75.40

Company Info:
  • Kernex Microsystems India Ltd was incorporated on September 16, 1991 as a private limited company.
  • The company was registered as 100% Export Oriented Unit with Software Technology Parks of India, Department of Electronics, Govt. of India, New Delhi.
  • The company is engaged in the Manufacture and sale of Safety Systems like Anti-Collision Devices for Railways and Software Services.
  • ISO 9001:2000 certified company with expertise in Software, Hardware development and Systems Integration.
  • The company holds exclusive license for manufacturing, installation, commissioning and maintenance of anti-collision systems in India.
  • The company is also an outsourced facility for the Konkan Railways Corporation Ltd for manufacture and supply of ACDs and related accessories. They are also a technology partner for the development and implementation of ADDs for Metro Sky-Bus Urban Transportation System, Advanced Railway Signal Systems and other safety systems. They hold the exclusive marketing rights of ACD systems all over the world except India.
Unique Selling Proposition (USP):
The company has expertise but had to wait for the right opportunity.
For years, the Railways has been a sector under government control. Very less efforts are made towards improving & modernising it.
With the onset of new regime in India and serious focus on Railway modernisation, a new dawn is setting for the companies into this segment.

Kernex is not a new player. It has worked with Konkan Railways ACD projects. So will definitely get a major share of the bigger pie.

Govt's initiative for introduction of enhanced versions of train like 'Bullet train' and 'Sky bus' will certainly create newer market for the company.

Financial performance:
Looking at new market opportunities and renewed HOPE of modernisation of Railways, company's poor financials in last 3-4 years should not be a real matter of concern.
Kernex's book value is Rs.102 which is almost 1.5 times of its current market price.

Target:
The company share may reach upto Rs.120 in a time horizon of 1 to 1.5 yrs.
For short term investors, expect the stock to reach upto Rs.90-95 post presentation of Railway Budget in Jul-14.


Indiabulls Power- BUY


Listed at NSE & BSE
Scrip code:  IBPOW
Sector: Power Generation/Distribution
CMP(Rs.): 12.95

Company Info:

  1. The company is into Power, Financial services, Real estate & Securities services.
  2. AMRAVATI THERMAL POWER PROJECT (1350 MW) is being setup by Indiabulls Power Ltd. (IPL.) at Nandgaonpeth, Amravati district, Maharashtra
    • The primary fuel for the Project is Coal for which coal linkage has been granted and letters of assurance from South Eastern Coalfields Ltd. (SECL), Western Coalfields Ltd. (WCL) and Mahanadi Coalfields Ltd. (MCL) have been issued.
  3. Nasik Thermal Power Project (1350 MW) is being setup by Indiabulls Realtech Ltd. - a subsidiary of Indiabulls Power Ltd. at Sinnar, Nasik district, Maharashtra. The project site is easily accessible from Nasik, Pune & Mumbai.
    • The primary fuel for the Project is Coal for which coal linkage has been granted and letters of assurance from South Eastern Coalfields Ltd. (SECL), Western Coalfields Ltd. (WCL) and Mahanadi Coalfields Ltd. (MCL) have been issued.
  4. The company also deals in Power trading business on the energy exchanges.

Unique Selling Proposition:
  • Renewed focus of Government on power sector to meet the demand.
  • Restructuring of Coal supply to power producers on the cards
  • Reportedly, government is also looking into easing the Financing of power sectors.
  • Since the company is a new entrant in this business, has a lower baggage to carry from financial perspective.
  • Company seems to be looking to capture a big chunk of Renewable energy business.
  • Expect favourable announcements in coming General budget
  • Thia stock is happening and is HIGH RISK-HIGH GAIN kind.
Financials:

Current financials of the company are not attractive
But future is surely green for this company.

Target:
Again I repeat. This is a HIGH RISK-HIGH GAIN stock.
Investors with high risk appetite only, should consider this stock.
It has potential to reach Rs.40 in a years time (by Jun-15).